Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
11 June Stadium
Libya1 - 1Rwanda
Al Dawi (16')
Aldeen Al Qulaib (34'), Arteeba (42'), Al Badri (45+4')
Aldeen Al Qulaib (34'), Arteeba (42'), Al Badri (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nshutiyamagara (47')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Libya
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Rwanda
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Libya 1-1 Rwanda
Both these sides have made notable improvements under new management and are carrying solid form into this match. There is very little to choose between these two and we feel there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle as well. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 40.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 29.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.57%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Libya | Draw | Rwanda |
40.14% ( 0.01) | 30.65% ( 0) | 29.22% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.49% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.25% ( -0.01) | 67.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.24% ( -0) | 85.77% ( 0) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( 0) | 33.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.2% | 69.8% ( 0) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% ( -0.01) | 40.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.54% ( -0.01) | 77.46% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Libya 40.14%
Rwanda 29.21%
Draw 30.64%
| Libya | Draw | Rwanda |
| 1-0 @ 14.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.14% | 0-0 @ 13.57% 1-1 @ 13.38% 2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.64% | 0-1 @ 12.13% 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.29% Total : 29.21% |
How you voted: Libya vs Rwanda
Libya
48.9%Draw
29.8%Rwanda
21.3%47
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2018 7pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
0-1
Libya
Rutanga (51'), Usengimana (66'), Niyonzima (71'), Ndayishimiye (80')
Abushnaf (93')
