We said: Cape Verde 1-1 Libya
While Cape Verde will be looking to bounce back from their loss to Cameroon, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a spirited Libya side who are unbeaten in 13 consecutive matches. That said, we predict a cagey affair at the Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde, with both sides cancelling out each other's efforts.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Libya had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.