World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde

Cape Verde
1 - 0
Libya

Borges (10')
Rocha (78'), Varela (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mukhtar Al Shremi (25'), Aliaddawi (88'), Al Badri (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Cape Verde and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Cameroon 4-1 Cape Verde
Saturday, June 8 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Libya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Libya 2-1 Mauritius
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

While Cape Verde will be looking to bounce back from their loss to Cameroon, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a spirited Libya side who are unbeaten in 13 consecutive matches. That said, we predict a cagey affair at the Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde, with both sides cancelling out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Libya had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Libya
39.05% ( 0.05)	29.71% ( 0.04)	31.25% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 42.41% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.46% (

-0.14)

64.54% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.43% (

-0.1)

83.57% (

0.1)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83% (

-0.04)

32.17% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35% (

-0.04)

68.66% (

0.05)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53% (

-0.14)

37.48% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.74% (

-0.14)

74.26% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 39.05%

Libya 31.24%

Draw 29.7%

Cape Verde	Draw	Libya
1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 39.05%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.7%	0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 31.24%