MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:43:47| >> :120:5809:5809:
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Cape Verde national football team

Eswatini
0 - 2
Cape Verde


Owa Matsebula (51'), Dlamini (59'), Costa (59'), Silenge (77'), Silenge (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mendes (17'), Monteiro (38')
Costa (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Eswatini and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Libya
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 Angola
Thursday, November 16 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Eswatini 0-1 Cape Verde

Cape Verde have enjoyed the better of this fixture more often than not and will back themselves to come out on top on Tuesday. We are tipping the visitors to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.

Result
EswatiniDrawCape Verde
32.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 27.58% (0.083000000000002 0.08) 39.79% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99% (-0.303 -0.3)57.01% (0.306 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (-0.243 -0.24)77.9% (0.245 0.25)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.143 -0.14)32.45% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.161 -0.16)68.97% (0.164 0.16)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)27.99% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (-0.254 -0.25)63.63% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 32.63%
    Cape Verde 39.79%
    Draw 27.57%
EswatiniDrawCape Verde
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.63%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.08% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: Eswatini vs Cape Verde

Eswatini
11.1%
Draw
27.8%
Cape Verde
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 2pm
Mar 24, 2023 4pm
rhs 2.0
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