Libya have put together a fine run of form heading into the qualifiers and will fancy their chances against an Eswatini side who have lost their last four competitive home games. We predict a cagey affair at the Mbombela Stadium, with the Mediterranean Knights claiming a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 41.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 28.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Libya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Libya.

Result
Eswatini	Draw	Libya
28.97% ( -0.32)	29.09% ( -0.22)	41.94% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 43.17% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.79% (

0.59)

63.21% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.38% (

0.43)

82.62% (

-0.43)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

0.07)

38.51% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

0.07)

75.26% (

-0.07)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2% (

0.61)

29.79% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.13% (

0.73)

65.87% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

Eswatini 28.96%

Libya 41.93%

Draw 29.08%

Eswatini	Draw	Libya
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.96%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 13.89% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.42% Total : 41.93%