Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Francistown Stadium
Botswana1 - 0Libya
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Eq Guinea
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Botswana 1-1 Libya
Botswana can afford to take their foot off the gas a bit here, while Libya have little margin for error as they look to make up a near-unassailable margin. That said, we expect a keenly-contested affair with honours even in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 35.1%. A win for Libya had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.92%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (13.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Libya |
35.1% ( -0.48) | 30.99% ( 0.44) | 33.9% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.58% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
