Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Libya had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Libya win it was 1-0 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tunisia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.
-0.33) 
0.48) 
