African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Libya3 - 1Ethiopia
Abu Arqoub (44'), Abbasi (50'), Saltou (78')
Saltou (52'), Touhami (66')
Saltou (52'), Touhami (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Panomo (39' pen.)
Panomo (59')
Panomo (59')
Coverage of the African Nations Championship Group Stage clash between Libya and Ethiopia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Libya
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ethiopia
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Libya had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Libya win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Libya | Draw | Ethiopia |
34.19% ( -1.94) | 28.45% ( -0.16) | 37.35% ( 2.11) |
Both teams to score 46.37% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.03% ( 0.52) | 59.97% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.78% ( 0.39) | 80.21% ( -0.39) |
Libya Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( -1) | 32.92% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% ( -1.13) | 69.49% ( 1.13) |
Ethiopia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% ( 1.6) | 30.88% ( -1.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.83% ( 1.84) | 67.17% ( -1.84) |
Score Analysis |
Libya 34.19%
Ethiopia 37.35%
Draw 28.45%
Libya | Draw | Ethiopia |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.35% |
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2014 6pm
Libya
2-0
Ethiopia
Megersa Gobena (43')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 07:42:05
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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