MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:54:33| >> :60:289:289:
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Botswana national football team

Eswatini
0 - 1
Botswana

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ditsele (22')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Eswatini and Botswana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

Last Game: Eswatini 0-2 Togo
Sunday, June 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Libya
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
EswatiniDrawBotswana
40.62% (0.81 0.81) 27.68% (-0.596 -0.6) 31.7% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 48.06% (1.644 1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (2.091 2.09)57.61% (-2.089 -2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (1.628 1.63)78.38% (-1.625 -1.63)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (1.466 1.47)27.82% (-1.465 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.59% (1.837 1.84)63.41% (-1.835 -1.84)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (0.944 0.94)33.42% (-0.943 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (1.022 1.02)70.05% (-1.02 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 40.61%
    Botswana 31.7%
    Draw 27.68%
EswatiniDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.234 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.238 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.177 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.119 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 9.3% (-0.763 -0.76)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.242 0.24)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.55 -0.55)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 31.7%

Head to Head
Jul 15, 2022 2pm
Seventh Place Playoffs
Botswana
2-0
Eswatini
Morwalela (41'), Thatanyane (87')
Cooper (45+1'), Mangolo (59'), Phoko (77'), Lekoba (82')

Dlamini (63')
Jul 14, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Eswatini
1-1
Botswana
Ndzinisa (20')
Mkhonta (33'), Matse (59'), P. Figareido (69'), Gamedze (71')
Kgamanyane (65')
Kgamanyane (45'), Mohutsiwa (89'), Orebonye (90+1')
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