Both teams boast the same number of goals scored and conceded from their opening four matches and this weekend's contest could easily swing either way. However, we just about back the away side to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Togo had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Togo win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.

Result
Eswatini	Draw	Togo
37.87% ( 1.31)	27.57% ( -0.3)	34.55% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 49.02% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.31% (

1.08)

56.69% (

-1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35% (

0.86)

77.65% (

-0.87)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

1.32)

28.95% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.16% (

1.61)

64.83% (

-1.61)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

-0.1)

31% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.69% (

-0.12)

67.31% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Eswatini 37.87%

Togo 34.55%

Draw 27.56%

Eswatini	Draw	Togo
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.87%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.55%