Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Cape Verde
2 - 0
Togo

Antonio Teixeira Tavares (10'), Monteiro (90+4')
Lopes (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ayite (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Cape Verde and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

Last Six:

Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Togo
Tuesday, June 7 at 6.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Cape Verde vs. Eswatini
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Togo

Last Six:

Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Togo
Tuesday, June 7 at 6.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Burkina Faso vs. Togo
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

While Togo head into the game unbeaten in each of their last seven outings across all competitions, they have failed to win any of their last seven AFCON qualifying games. We predict a cagey affair with Cape Verde coming away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Togo had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Togo
40.7% ( -0.01)	23.99% ( -0)	35.31% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.25% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.95% (

0.03)

41.05% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.56% (

0.03)

63.44% (

-0.03)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

0.01)

20.38% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.19% (

0.02)

52.81% (

-0.02)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93% (

0.02)

23.07% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.1% (

0.03)

56.9% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 40.7%

Togo 35.31%

Draw 23.98%

Cape Verde	Draw	Togo
2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 40.7%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.31%