Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 7pm UK

Burkina Faso
1 - 0
Togo

Tapsoba (87')
Dayo (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ouro-Gneni (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Burkina Faso and Togo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Ivory Coast
Saturday, November 19 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Togo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Tuesday, September 27 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Togo had a probability of 10.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.96%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burkina Faso in this match.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Togo
68.86% ( 0.01)	20.48% ( 0.07)	10.66% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 37.94% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.49% (

-0.45)

54.51% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.13% (

-0.37)

75.87% (

0.37)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.11% (

-0.14)

14.89% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.76% (

-0.27)

43.24% (

0.27)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.58% (

-0.43)

55.42% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.87% (

-0.26)

88.13% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 68.85%

Togo 10.66%

Draw 20.48%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Togo
1-0 @ 15.71% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 68.85%	1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.48%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 10.66%