International Friendly

Nov 19, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Burkina Faso
2 - 1
Ivory Coast

Ouattara (11'), Tapsoba (42' pen.)
Badolo (88'), Ouattara (90+4')
Sangare (73')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sangare (20')
Sangare (21'), Pepe (65')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Burkina Faso and Ivory Coast.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Ivory Coast

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ivory Coast 4-0 Burundi
Wednesday, November 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Ivory Coast win was 0-1 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Ivory Coast
35.89% ( 0.02)	29.14% ( -0.01)	34.97% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.47% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.69% (

0.05)

62.31% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.04% (

0.04)

81.96% (

-0.03)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.99% (

0.04)

33.01% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41% (

0.04)

69.59% (

-0.04)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38% (

0.02)

33.62% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74% (

0.02)

70.26% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 35.88%

Ivory Coast 34.96%

Draw 29.13%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.88%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.13%	0-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.96%