Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 3, 2022 at 8pm UK

Ivory Coast
3 - 1
Zambia

Aurier (67'), Kouame (76'), Sangare (89')
Sangare (45'), Boly (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Daka (90+4')
Mwepu (75'), Sakala (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

Last Six:

Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Ivory Coast
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Comoros
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Zambia

Last Six:

Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Zambia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	3	4	7
2	Namibia	3	2	7
3	Uganda	3	-3	1
4	Ivory Coast	3	-3	1

We said: Ivory Coast 2-0 Zambia

Despite their injury woes, Ivory Coast boast a superior and more experienced squad and head into the weekend as firm favourites. While Zambia can be a hard nut to crack, we are tipping the Elephants to come away with an opening-day victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Zambia
61.35% ( -0.01)	23.67% ( -0)	14.98% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 40.71% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.5% (

0.03)

57.5% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.7% (

0.03)

78.29% (

-0.03)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.5% (

0.01)

18.5% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.29% (

0.01)

49.71% (

-0.01)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.95% (

0.04)

50.05% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.31% (

0.03)

84.69% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 61.35%

Zambia 14.98%

Draw 23.67%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 15.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.75% Total : 61.35%	1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 23.67%	0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 14.98%