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Ivory Coast national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2022 at 4pm UK
 
Algeria national football team

Ivory Coast
3 - 1
Algeria

Kessie (22'), Sangare (39'), Pepe (54')
Deli (12'), Aurier (12'), Maiga (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bendebka (73')
Brahimi (78'), Boulaya (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Ivory Coast and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Ivory Coast 1-1 Algeria

Algeria have been nothing short of disappointing so far as they failed to pick up a win against the two weakest sides in the group. While we expect the Greens to throw in the kitchen sink in search of all three points, we are tipping the Elephants to cancel out their efforts and force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawAlgeria
42.32%27.08%30.6%
Both teams to score 49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32%55.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17%76.83%
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74%26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97%61.03%
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8%33.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19%69.8%
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 42.31%
    Algeria 30.6%
    Draw 27.08%
Ivory CoastDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.31%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 9.52%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.6%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Algeria

Ivory Coast
Draw
Algeria
Ivory Coast
40.0%
Draw
22.5%
Algeria
37.5%
160
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2019 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Ivory Coast
1-1
Algeria
Kodjia (62')
Zaha (29'), Bagayoko (43'), Gbohouo (46'), Kessie (88'), Comara (120')
Feghouli (20')
Bensebaini (29'), Bennacer (39')
Feb 1, 2015 7.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Ivory Coast
3-1
Algeria
Bony (26', 68'), Gervinho (94')
rhs 2.0
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