Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 16, 2022 at 7pm UK

Algeria
0 - 1
Eq Guinea

Bounedjah (4'), Bensebaini (8'), Mandi (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Obiang (70')
Ndong (9'), Bikoro (43'), Siafa (45'), Obiang (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Algeria and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Algeria 3-0 Equatorial Guinea

Algeria suffered a setback in their first group fixture and will be expected to bounce back as all good sides do. We are tipping them to cruise to victory in this one, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.81%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.95%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
58.64%	26.57%	14.78%

Both teams to score 33.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.52%

66.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.09%

84.91%

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78%

23.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.88%

57.12%

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.2%

55.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.65%

88.35%

Score Analysis

Algeria 58.63%

Equatorial Guinea 14.78%

Draw 26.57%

Algeria	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 18.91% 2-0 @ 13.81% 2-1 @ 8.06% 3-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.92% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.63%	0-0 @ 12.95% 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 2.35% Other @ 0.24% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 3.22% 0-2 @ 2.2% Other @ 1.8% Total : 14.78%