World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
Tunisia3 - 1Zambia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Zambia |
| 54.54% | 23.53% | 21.92% |
| Both teams to score 52.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
