World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 7, 2021 at 8pm UK

Tunisia
3 - 0
Mauritania

Skhiri (15'), Khazri (42'), Jaziri (86')
Meriah (35')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Diaw (18'), N'Diaye (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Mauritania
53.9%	23.82%	22.27%

Both teams to score 52.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57%

48.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.43%

70.57%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12%

17.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.34%

48.66%

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.82%

36.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.03%

72.96%

Score Analysis

Tunisia 53.9%

Mauritania 22.27%

Draw 23.82%

Tunisia	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.75% 2-0 @ 9.59% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.5% Total : 53.9%	1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.82%	0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.27%