World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 8pm UK
Tunisia3 - 0Mauritania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Mauritania |
| 53.9% | 23.82% | 22.27% |
| Both teams to score 52.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
