MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:45:45| >> :60:27:27:
Ivory Coast national football team
International Friendly
Sep 27, 2022 at 7pm UK
TBC
Guinea national football team

Ivory Coast
3 - 1
Guinea

Sangare (30'), Doumbia (41'), Fofana (45+1')
Kessie (64'), Sangare (68'), Diomande (81'), Zaha (87'), Kanga (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Diakhaby (46')
Conde (40'), Konate (87'), Moriba (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Ivory Coast and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-1 Togo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Guinea
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Ivory Coast 2-0 Guinea

Judging by their record in this fixture, Ivory Coast are huge favourites to get the job done as they also boast the vastly superior crop of players. We are tipping them to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawGuinea
53.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 26.39% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 19.97% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.25% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.71% (0.060000000000002 0.06)60.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.54% (0.044 0.04)80.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (0.020999999999987 0.02)22.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (0.032000000000004 0.03)56.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.64% (0.063000000000002 0.06)45.36% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.78% (0.048000000000002 0.05)81.22% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 53.63%
    Guinea 19.97%
    Draw 26.38%
Ivory CoastDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 15.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 53.63%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 10.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.77% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Guinea

Ivory Coast
89.3%
Draw
7.1%
Guinea
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2015 4pm
Group D
Ivory Coast
1-1
Guinea
Doumbia (72')
Aurier (40'), Die (54'), Tiote (62')
Gervinho (58')
Yattara (36')
rhs 2.0
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