Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 24, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade 28 Septembre
Guinea0 - 1Gambia
We said: Guinea 0-1 Gambia
Making their debut at the tournament, Gambia have hit the ground running and will head into the knockout stages in sky-high spirits following their fine group-stage performance. We anticipate a thrilling contest between the two rivals with Gambia claiming the win, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gambia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Gambia |
| 47.22% | 23.24% | 29.54% |
| Both teams to score 61.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
