MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:48:03| >> :600:254114:254114:
Egypt national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Guinea national football team

Egypt
1 - 0
Guinea

Mohamed (87')
Fathi (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diawara (29'), Camara (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Egypt and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: South Korea vs. Egypt
Tuesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Six:
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Guinea vs. Ethiopia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Egypt 2-1 Guinea

Egypt will be looking to quickly put their World Cup disappointment behind them and get their AFCON qualifiers off to a good note. Unbeaten in 10 straight home games, the Pharaohs are firm favourites to come away with the win and we are backing them to see off the out-of-sorts visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
EgyptDrawGuinea
58.39% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 25.67%15.94% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 37.82% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.46% (0.035000000000004 0.04)62.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.87% (0.026999999999997 0.03)82.13% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)54.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.26% (0.061999999999998 0.06)51.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.17% (0.041 0.04)85.83% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 58.38%
    Guinea 15.94%
    Draw 25.67%
EgyptDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 17.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 58.38%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.72% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 15.94%

How you voted: Egypt vs Guinea

Egypt
88.6%
Draw
8.6%
Guinea
2.9%
70
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2019 5pm
Egypt
3-1
Guinea
Mohsen (11'), Ali (77'), Gaber (86')
Ashraf (79')
Kaba (63')
Sylla (29'), Seka (59'), Diawara (87')
rhs 2.0
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