Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Final

Feb 6, 2022 at 7pm UK

Senegal
0 - 0
Egypt

Mendy (17'), Koulibaly (44'), Diallo (54'), Mane (88')

Abdelmonem (5'), Fathi (37')

Senegal win 4-2 on penalties

Senegal beat Egypt on penalties to win Africa Cup of Nations

Sadio Mane scores the winning penalty as Senegal beat Egypt in a shootout to win the Africa Cup of Nations for the first time in their history.

Feb 6, 21:45

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Senegal and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Considering the stakes of this one, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides taking the game to each other in search of the win to clinch the continental crown. Senegal have been beaten twice at this stage of the tournament but for the first time in a long time, they have a complete squad on paper, boasting a fine crop of talent across all departments of the pitch. Egypt are the most experienced side at this level, claiming seven final victories, and going up against them could prove a tricky task for any side. However, we are are tipping the Lions of Teranga to claim the win and pick up their first continental title with a slender win over the Pharaohs Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Egypt
53.1%	23.75%	23.15%

Both teams to score 53.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.78%

47.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.55%

69.45%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27%

17.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.6%

48.4%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.3%

34.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57%

71.43%

Score Analysis

Senegal 53.1%

Egypt 23.15%

Draw 23.75%

Senegal	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.21% 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 5.31% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.6% Total : 53.1%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.75%	0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.15%