Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 18, 2022 at 4pm UK

Malawi
0 - 0
Senegal

Chaziya (58'), Thomu (83')

Kouyate (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Malawi and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Senegal have been far from impressive of late but still possess a lot of quality players at their disposal and we are tipping them to emerge victorious come the sound of the final whistle in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 49.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Malawi	Draw	Senegal
24.72%	25.61%	49.67%

Both teams to score 49.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.67%

53.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13%

74.87%

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.35%

36.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.56%

73.44%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51%

21.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46%

54.54%

Score Analysis

Malawi 24.72%

Senegal 49.67%

Draw 25.6%

Malawi	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 7.91% 2-1 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 3.97% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.57% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.72%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-2 @ 9.31% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.67%