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Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 11, 2022 at 4pm UK
 
Egypt national football team

Nigeria
1 - 0
Egypt

Iheanacho (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Nigeria 2-1 Egypt

Egypt and Nigeria are two of the most experienced and decorated sides in the tournament and this makes for an exciting and nerve-racking watch. While we cannot ignore Salah's presence, Nigeria head into the game with a more complete and well-rounded squad who should be able to get the job done. We are tipping the Super Eagles to get their campaign off to a flyer by claiming all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Egypt had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Egypt win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
NigeriaDrawEgypt
40.87%25.14%33.99%
Both teams to score 56.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.33%46.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06%68.94%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28%22.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61%56.39%
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55%26.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37%61.64%
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 40.87%
    Egypt 33.99%
    Draw 25.13%
NigeriaDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.99%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 33.99%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Egypt

Nigeria
47.9%
Draw
18.6%
Egypt
33.5%
242
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2019 5pm
International Friendlies
Nigeria
1-0
Egypt
Onuachu (1')
Balogun (34')

Hamed (32'), Eldin (50')
rhs 2.0
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