Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals

Jan 30, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo

Egypt
2 - 1
Morocco

Salah (53'), Trezeguet (100')
Kamal (25'), Mohamed (78'), Ashraf (80'), Abdelmonem (105+1'), Queiroz (120')

FT
(aet)

Boufal (7' pen.)
Amallah (34'), Hakimi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Egypt and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Egypt face the daunting task of going up against a free-scoring Morocco side who have lost just once since 2019. The Atlas Lions, who have hit their stride, appear simply unstoppable at the moment and we are tipping them to come away with the win in normal time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Morocco win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%).

Result
Egypt	Draw	Morocco
49.51%	23.52%	26.97%

Both teams to score 58.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25%

42.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85%

65.15%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6%

17.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.17%

47.82%

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83%

29.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.9%

65.1%

Score Analysis

Egypt 49.51%

Morocco 26.97%

Draw 23.51%

Egypt	Draw	Morocco
2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.88% Total : 49.51%	1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 6.74% 0-1 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.97%