World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 29, 2022 at 6pm UK

Senegal
1 - 0
Egypt

(agg: -)

Fathi (4' og.)
Gueye (37'), Dieng (70')

FT
(aet)

Rabia (34'), Ashraf (45'), Aboel Fettoh (112'), Mohamed (119'), Emad (120+3')

Senegal win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Senegal and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

Last Six:

Last Game: Rwanda 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, June 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Senegal vs. Mozambique
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Egypt

Last Six:

Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Guinea
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ethiopia vs. Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Senegal will fancy their chances of overturning their one-goal deficit as they return to home soil where they have been utterly dominant. They are unbeaten in all but one of their eight home games since 2019, claiming an impressive seven wins in that time. While going up against a Salah-led Egypt side is a tricky task for any side, we are backing Senegal to come out victorious on Tuesday and claim an aggregate victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (8.21%).

Result
Senegal	Draw	Egypt
51.47%	26.23%	22.3%

Both teams to score 45.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.4%

57.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.63%

78.37%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52%

22.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.96%

56.04%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67%

41.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15%

77.85%

Score Analysis

Senegal 51.46%

Egypt 22.3%

Draw 26.23%

Senegal	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 13.86% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.46%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.19% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.19% Total : 22.3%