World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 1st Leg

Mar 25, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Egypt
1 - 0
Senegal

(agg: -)

Ciss (4' og.)
Hamdi (31'), Trezeguet (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendy (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Egypt and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

Last Six:

Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Guinea
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ethiopia vs. Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Senegal

Last Six:

Last Game: Rwanda 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, June 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Senegal vs. Mozambique
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Egypt will head into the game desperate to get one over Cisse's men, having lost each of the last three meetings between the sides, including the slender defeat in January's AFCON final. While they will have the home advantage, Senegal boast a plethora of world-class talents in their arsenal. We predict the game will end even, leaving all to play for in the return leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 40%. A win for Egypt had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Egypt win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Senegal
33.46%	26.53%	40%

Both teams to score 52.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23%

52.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6%

74.4%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24%

29.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17%

65.82%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1%

25.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.11%

60.88%

Score Analysis

Egypt 33.46%

Senegal 40.01%

Draw 26.52%

Egypt	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.01%