Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Senegal
3 - 1
Benin

Mane (12' pen., 22', 60' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Olaitan (88')
Doremus (6')
D'Almeida (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Senegal and Benin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

Last Six:

Last Game: Rwanda 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, June 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Senegal vs. Mozambique
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Benin

Last Six:

Last Game: Benin 0-1 Mozambique
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Benin vs. Rwanda
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Senegal head into the qualifiers with a star-studded squad and are clear favourites to come away with the desired results. While we expect Benin to put up a fight, the Lions of Teranga have lost just once since October 2020 and we are backing them to cruise to all three points on home turf this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Benin had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Benin
66.3% ( -0)	21.83% ( -0)	11.87% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 37.98% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.3% (

0.01)

56.7% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.34% (

0.01)

77.66% (

-0.01)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.53% (

16.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.83% (

0.01)

46.17% (

-0)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.47% (

0.02)

54.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.4% (

0.01)

87.6% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Senegal 66.28%

Benin 11.87%

Draw 21.84%

Senegal	Draw	Benin
1-0 @ 16.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.11% Total : 66.28%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.84%	0-1 @ 5.44% 1-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 11.87%