National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford3 - 1Curzon Ashton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Curzon Ashton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
53
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Radcliffe
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.50pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.50pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
49
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
35.94% ( -0.02) | 26.97% ( 0.02) | 37.09% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.76% ( -0.1) | 54.24% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.36% ( -0.09) | 75.64% ( 0.08) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.06) | 28.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.2% ( -0.08) | 64.8% ( 0.07) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.06) | 28.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.07% ( -0.07) | 63.93% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Hereford United 35.93%
Curzon Ashton 37.09%
Draw 26.97%
| Hereford United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.93% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.09% |
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
