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National League North | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
1 - 3
Hereford

Peers (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barnett (6', 65'), McLean (74')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough Sports 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-1 Fylde
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawHereford United
35.62% (0.13800000000001 0.14) 26.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 38.28% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.84% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (0.085999999999999 0.09)50.65% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.44% (0.074999999999999 0.07)72.56% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (0.12299999999999 0.12)27.38% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (0.16 0.16)62.85% (-0.161 -0.16)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)25.86% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)60.83% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 35.62%
    Hereford United 38.28%
    Draw 26.1%
Curzon AshtonDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.62%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.28%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Hereford
2-2
Curzon Ashton
Gordon (9'), Owen-Evans (28')
Curran (2'), Hobson (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe382112563263775
2Chester FCChester392110861372473
3Brackley Town382251160392171
4Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster372071065313467
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton361971048272164
6Buxton392041565461964
7Chorley3818101059461364
8Hereford UnitedHereford391891253411263
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn39189124541463
10Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports391511134944556
11Darlington371511114541456
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor3614121059411854
13South Shields38164185659-352
14Leamington FCLeamington38148164946350
15Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath381310155650649
16SouthportSouthport391211163951-1247
17Marine AFC39138183649-1347
18Alfreton TownAlfreton37129164552-745
19RadcliffeRadcliffe37119174861-1342
20Needham Market3899203860-2236
21Oxford CityOxford City36812164265-2336
22Warrington Town38612203155-2430
23Rushall Olympic3986253483-4930
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic3875263085-5526


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