National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hemps.1 - 1Aveley
Omoko Brosnan (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kawa (66')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Aveley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Hemel Hemps.
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
59
Last Game: Aveley 0-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
39
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Aveley |
54.76% ( 0.31) | 23.49% ( -0.09) | 21.75% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.15) | 47.62% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( 0.14) | 69.82% ( -0.14) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( 0.17) | 17.26% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.41% ( 0.29) | 47.59% ( -0.29) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( -0.13) | 36.23% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.99% ( -0.13) | 73.01% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Hemel Hempstead Town 54.76%
Aveley 21.75%
Draw 23.48%
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 21.75% |
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Aveley
0-1
Hemel Hemps.
Ogunrinde (77'), Hallard (79')
Ogunrinde (81'), Kelly (90+8')
German (18')
Ajayi (33'), Tompkins (45+3'), Wiltshire (67'), Cerulli (85'), Ibie (90+8')
Ajayi (33'), Tompkins (45+3'), Wiltshire (67'), Cerulli (85'), Ibie (90+8')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Nov 6, 2023 7.45pm
Form Guide
