MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 19:44:05| >> :60:19:19:
Malawi national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 8, 2022 at 1pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

Malawi
1 - 1
Eswatini

Muyaba (46')
Mhango (36'), Muyaba (81'), Mkungula (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ndzinisa (90+5' pen.)
Dlamini (25'), Thwala (44'), Mamba (86')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Malawi and Eswatini.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

Last Six:
Last Game: Lesotho 2-1 Malawi
Wednesday, July 6 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup

Eswatini

Last Game: Mauritius 0-3 Eswatini
Wednesday, July 6 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
MalawiDrawEswatini
48.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.42% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 23.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 43.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.4% (0.012 0.01)60.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)80.7% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (0.010999999999996 0.01)24.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (0.014000000000003 0.01)59.56% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)78.23%
Score Analysis
    Malawi 48.96%
    Eswatini 23.61%
    Draw 27.41%
MalawiDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 14.46%
2-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 23.61%

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