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Cape Verde national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals
Feb 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de Yamoussoukro
South Africa national football team

Cape Verde
0 - 0
South Africa


Mendes (27')
FT
(aet)
South Africa win 2-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cape Verde and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritania
Monday, January 29 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 0-2 South Africa
Tuesday, January 30 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We say: Cape Verde 2-1 South Africa

South Africa have interestingly never defeated Cape Verde in three previous meetings, and Bubista's troops could extend that unbeaten run to four with a victory over Bafana Bafana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 46.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawSouth Africa
46.49% (0.479 0.48) 27.25% (-0.473 -0.47) 26.26% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 46.42% (1.272 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.71% (1.631 1.63)58.29% (-1.629 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.08% (1.259 1.26)78.92% (-1.259 -1.26)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.97500000000001 0.98)25.08% (-0.975 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (1.328 1.33)59.77% (-1.328 -1.33)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96% (0.903 0.9)38.04% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (0.863 0.86)74.8% (-0.863 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 46.49%
    South Africa 26.26%
    Draw 27.24%
Cape VerdeDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 13.19% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.135 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 46.49%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 9.54% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.348 -0.35)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.26%

How you voted: Cape Verde vs South Africa

Cape Verde
53.8%
South Africa
46.3%
80
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2013 4pm
rhs 2.0
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4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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