We said: Cape Verde 1-2 Egypt
It is crunch time for Egypt, but they may have got a bit lucky with this being a dead-rubber match for Cape Verde, who are already looking ahead to the knockout stages. It will not be easy for the Pharaohs without their Liverpool star, but we fancy them to edge this one and join the Blue Sharks in the next round.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.42%) and 1-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 1-0 (12.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.