Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Cape Verde
2 - 2
Egypt

Tavares (45+1'), Teixeira (90+9')
Pina (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Trezeguet (50'), Mohamed (90+3')
Marmoush (63'), Hegazy (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cape Verde and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Cape Verde 3-0 Mozambique
Friday, January 19 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	2	4	6
2	Egypt	2	0	2
3	Ghana	2	-1	1
4	Mozambique	2	-3	1

Egypt

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Egypt 2-2 Ghana
Thursday, January 18 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	2	4	6
2	Egypt	2	0	2
3	Ghana	2	-1	1
4	Mozambique	2	-3	1

It is crunch time for Egypt, but they may have got a bit lucky with this being a dead-rubber match for Cape Verde, who are already looking ahead to the knockout stages. It will not be easy for the Pharaohs without their Liverpool star, but we fancy them to edge this one and join the Blue Sharks in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.42%) and 1-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 1-0 (12.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Egypt
32.18% ( 0.11)	30.65% ( 0.05)	37.17% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 40.25% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.77% (

-0.13)

67.23% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.58% (

-0.09)

85.42% (

0.09)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.72% (

38.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.96% (

75.04%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

-0.17)

34.79% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48% (

-0.19)

71.52% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 32.17%

Egypt 37.17%

Draw 30.64%

Cape Verde	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 32.17%	1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.64%	0-1 @ 14.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.17%