MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 20:57:29| >> :600:197431:197431:
Sierra Leone national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Egypt national football team

Sierra Leone
0 - 2
Egypt


Fornah (48')
Fornah (38'), Kabia (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Trezeguet (18', 62')
Fathi (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sierra Leone and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Sierra Leone
Wednesday, November 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 6-0 Djibouti
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Sierra Leone 0-3 Egypt

What we have here is one of the highest-ranked sides in Africa taking on one of the lowest, which suggests that this could end up being a very one-sided encounter. The Pharaohs look in great nick at the moment, and we fancy they will secure another convincing victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 26.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
Sierra LeoneDrawEgypt
26.93% (-0.644 -0.64) 27.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 45.55% (0.635 0.63)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-0.45 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14% (-0.363 -0.36)58.86% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-0.281 -0.28)79.36% (0.282 0.28)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (-0.736 -0.74)37.78% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (-0.724 -0.72)74.56% (0.724 0.72)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (0.154 0.15)25.8% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (0.20800000000001 0.21)60.76% (-0.208 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Sierra Leone 26.93%
    Egypt 45.54%
    Draw 27.51%
Sierra LeoneDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.26% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.93%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 13.2% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 8.95% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.04% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 45.54%

How you voted: Sierra Leone vs Egypt

Sierra Leone
15.4%
Draw
7.7%
Egypt
76.9%
26
rhs 2.0
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