MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 10:34:24| >> :120:8221:8221:
Egypt national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
Zambia national football team

Egypt
1 - 0
Zambia

Fathi (90+4')
Fathi (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sakala (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Egypt and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-3 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Zambia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Zambia
Saturday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Egypt 2-0 Zambia

 While Egypt will be looking to find their feet here, they should expect a stern challenge from a well-drilled Zambia side who have shown their mettle in the just-concluded AFCON qualifiers, where they beat Ivory Coast to top spot in Group H. However, the Pharaohs boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the Chipolopolo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
EgyptDrawZambia
59.37% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 23.45% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 17.18% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)53.4% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)74.94% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.36% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.38% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)44.62% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.37% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)80.63% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 59.37%
    Zambia 17.18%
    Draw 23.44%
EgyptDrawZambia
1-0 @ 13.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.83% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 59.37%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 17.18%

How you voted: Egypt vs Zambia

Egypt
74.4%
Draw
7.0%
Zambia
18.6%
43
rhs 2.0
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