While Egypt will be looking to find their feet here, they should expect a stern challenge from a well-drilled Zambia side who have shown their mettle in the just-concluded AFCON qualifiers, where they beat Ivory Coast to top spot in Group H. However, the Pharaohs boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the Chipolopolo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Zambia
59.37% ( 0.03)	23.45% ( -0)	17.18% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.57% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6% (

-0.02)

53.4% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

-0.02)

74.94% (

0.02)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.3% (

0.01)

17.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64% (

0.01)

48.36% (

-0)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.38% (

-0.05)

44.62% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.37% (

-0.04)

80.63% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Egypt 59.37%

Zambia 17.18%

Draw 23.44%

Egypt	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.37%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.18%