COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Zambia2 - 1Comoros
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Comoros.
Form, Standings, Stats
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Malawi
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Comoros |
51.48% ( 0.1) | 26.12% ( 0.05) | 22.4% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( -0.33) | 57.13% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( -0.27) | 78% ( 0.27) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.09) | 22.28% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.26% ( -0.14) | 55.74% ( 0.14) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.05% ( -0.35) | 40.95% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.49% ( -0.31) | 77.52% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Zambia 51.47%
Comoros 22.41%
Draw 26.12%
| Zambia | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.41% |
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Zambia
2-1
Comoros
Jul 7, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Zambia
P-P
Comoros
