MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 17:15:19| >> :60:433:433:
Israel national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Lawson Tama Stadium
Zambia national football team

Israel
4 - 2
Zambia

Baribo (21'), David (24'), Kabwe (89' og.), Shviro (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kangwa (55'), Bwalya (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Israel and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Israel 2-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 0-0 Zambia
Monday, September 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Israel 2-1 Zambia

Both teams will be without a number of key players for the clash, but we expect a keenly-contested affair nonetheless. We are also tipping Israel to carry the day in the end, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.

Result
IsraelDrawZambia
52.68% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 27.08% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 20.23% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 40.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)62.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.1% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)81.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)23.93% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)58.15% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.79% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)46.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)81.88% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Israel 52.68%
    Zambia 20.24%
    Draw 27.06%
IsraelDrawZambia
1-0 @ 15.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 52.68%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 20.24%

How you voted: Israel vs Zambia

Israel
74.5%
Draw
9.4%
Zambia
16.0%
106
rhs 2.0
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