MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:56:56| >> :60:156:156:
Zambia national football team
COSAFA Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 15, 2022 at 6pm UK
Moses Mabhida Stadium
Senegal national football team

Zambia
4 - 3
Senegal

Kampamba (18', 64'), Sautu (36'), Banda (58')
Chamanga (43'), Sautu (56'), Kangwanda (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Camara (23'), Diouf (73'), Ndiaye (90')
Tendeng (49')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Semi-Finals clash between Zambia and Senegal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawSenegal
26.53%25.99%47.48%
Both teams to score 50.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48%53.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96%75.03%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.79%35.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.04%71.96%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46%22.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88%56.12%
Score Analysis
    Zambia 26.53%
    Senegal 47.48%
    Draw 25.99%
ZambiaDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-1 @ 6.44%
2-0 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 26.53%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 11.82%
1-2 @ 9.19%
0-2 @ 8.81%
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.48%

How you voted: Zambia vs Senegal

Zambia
37.5%
Draw
0.0%
Senegal
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2021 8pm
Friendlies 1
Senegal
3-1
Zambia
Mane (21' pen.), Diatta (31'), Sarr (44')
Koulibaly (53')
Chanda (54')
Chiluya (47')
rhs 2.0
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