Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2023 at 2pm UK

Lesotho
0 - 2
Zambia

Mokokoana (18')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Daka (14', 69')
Chepeshi (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Lesotho and Zambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Zambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	3	4	7
2	Namibia	3	2	7
3	Uganda	3	-3	1
4	Ivory Coast	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
Lesotho	Draw	Zambia
18.21% ( 0.06)	27.03% ( 0.07)	54.76% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 38.36% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.99% (

-0.15)

64% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.81% (

-0.1)

83.19% (

0.11)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.33% (

-0.02)

49.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.57% (

-0.02)

84.43% (

0.02)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2% (

-0.12)

23.79% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.04% (

-0.17)

57.96% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Lesotho 18.21%

Zambia 54.75%

Draw 27.02%

Lesotho	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.21%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 16.96% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 54.75%