Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 3pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Lesotho0 - 1Comoros
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Togo 2-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, June 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, June 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
We said: Lesotho 0-1 Comoros
Goals have been hard to come by for both teams of late and we can see Saturday's contest panning out in similar fashion. That said, we are backing the away side to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Comoros in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Comoros |
38.73% ( 1.61) | 26.76% ( -1.3) | 34.51% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( 3.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( 5.01) | 53.52% ( -5.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( 4.07) | 75.03% ( -4.07) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( 3.36) | 26.94% ( -3.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.73% ( 4.2) | 62.27% ( -4.2) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( 2.31) | 29.46% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.54% ( 2.74) | 65.46% ( -2.74) |
| Score Analysis |
Lesotho 38.73%
Comoros 34.51%
Draw 26.76%
| Lesotho | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( -1.09) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.47)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.52)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.73% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -1.69)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.59)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -1.33) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.51% |
How you voted: Lesotho vs Comoros
Lesotho
35.7%Draw
14.3%Comoros
50.0%14
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2022 2pm
