Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 19, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Cape Verde
3 - 0
Mozambique

Bebe (32'), Mendes (51'), Pina (69')
Cabral (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cape Verde and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Ghana 1-2 Cape Verde
Sunday, January 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	1	1	3
2	Egypt	2	0	2
3	Mozambique	1	0	1
4	Ghana	2	-1	1

Mozambique

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Egypt 2-2 Mozambique
Sunday, January 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	1	1	3
2	Egypt	2	0	2
3	Mozambique	1	0	1
4	Ghana	2	-1	1

We said: Cape Verde 2-1 Mozambique

Cape Verde are undefeated in three games against Mozambique (two wins), and that unbeaten sequence should become four as the Blue Sharks secure progress to the round of 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Mozambique
42.77% ( 1.99)	28.33% ( -0.98)	28.89% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 45.12% (

2.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.24% (

2.85)

60.75% (

-2.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.19% (

2.09)

80.81% (

-2.1)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86% (

2.51)

28.13% (

-2.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.18% (

3.08)

63.81% (

-3.09)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.78% (

0.77)

37.21% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26% (

0.75)

74% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 42.77%

Mozambique 28.88%

Draw 28.31%

Cape Verde	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 13.27% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.7% Total : 42.77%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( -1.18) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.93) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.88%