Friendlies 3

Jan 6, 2024 at 2pm UK

FNB Stadium

Mozambique
2 - 0
Lesotho

Mandava (27'), King (81' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mozambique and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions

Last Game: Mozambique 0-2 Algeria
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Benin
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Lesotho
41.39% ( -0.06)	27.74% ( -0)	30.87% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.61% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

0.04)

58.04% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

0.03)

78.72% (

-0.03)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

-0.02)

27.6% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87% (

-0.02)

63.13% (

0.03)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.76% (

0.07)

34.24% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.06% (

0.08)

70.94% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 41.38%

Lesotho 30.87%

Draw 27.73%

Mozambique	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.38%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.87%