Friendlies 3

Oct 13, 2023 at 3pm UK

Estadio Nacional de OMBAKA

Angola
1 - 1
Mozambique

Gelson (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bangal (71')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Angola and Mozambique.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Iran 4-0 Angola
Tuesday, September 12 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Mozambique

Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Benin
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Angola	Draw	Mozambique
60.6% ( -0.06)	24.46% ( 0.02)	14.94% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 38.75% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.87% (

0.01)

60.13% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.66% (

0.01)

80.34% (

-0)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21% (

-0.02)

19.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.16% (

-0.03)

51.84% (

0.04)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.31% (

0.07)

51.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.2% (

0.04)

85.8% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Angola 60.59%

Mozambique 14.94%

Draw 24.44%

Angola	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 16.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 60.59%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 14.94%