Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.41%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result
Angola	Draw	Lesotho
68.14% ( -0.38)	21.37% ( 0.2)	10.49% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 35.3% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.06% (

-0.3)

57.94% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.36% (

-0.24)

78.64% (

0.23)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

-0.23)

16.27% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

-0.42)

45.82% (

0.42)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.16% (

0.16)

57.84% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.49% (

0.09)

89.51% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Angola 68.13%

Lesotho 10.49%

Draw 21.37%

Angola	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 17.08% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 15.51% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 68.13%	0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.37%	0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 10.49%