African Nations Championship | Group Stage

Jan 20, 2023 at 4pm UK

Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA

Angola
0 - 0
Mauritania

Gilberto (28'), Herenilson (49')

Sy (40'), Mheimid (42'), Diaw (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's African Nations Championship clash between Angola and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Mali 3-3 Angola
Monday, January 16 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Mauritania

All competitions

Last Game: Mauritania 1-1 Mali
Thursday, August 18 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

We said: Angola 1-1 Mauritania

Both teams have developed a knack of being hard to beat of late, and we expect that trend to continue here with the sides cancelling each other, giving rise to a share of the spoils come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 76.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 6.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.97%) and 3-0 (11.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.54%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Angola	Draw	Mauritania
76.05% ( 0.41)	17.06% ( -0.33)	6.88% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 32.81% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

0.94)

52.23% (

-0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06% (

0.8)

73.94% (

-0.81)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97% (

0.39)

12.03% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.49% (

0.82)

37.51% (

-0.82)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.3% (

0.33)

62.7% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.03% (

0.16)

91.97% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Angola 76.05%

Mauritania 6.88%

Draw 17.06%

Angola	Draw	Mauritania
2-0 @ 16.91% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 15.97% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.31% Total : 76.05%	0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.29) 1-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.06%	0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 6.88%