Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Lesotho.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Angola
Friday, July 7 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Friday, July 7 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mauritius 0-2 Lesotho
Friday, July 7 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Friday, July 7 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Lesotho |
45.55% ( 0.25) | 29.82% ( -0.1) | 24.62% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 38.87% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
