Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 18, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Huye

Rwanda
0 - 2
Mozambique

FT(HT: 0-1)

Catamo (43'), Bauque (90+4')
Momade (45+2'), Ivane (79'), Abudo Zacarias (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 1-1 Benin
Wednesday, March 29 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Mozambique

Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Malawi
Wednesday, June 14 at 9am in International Friendlies

We said: Rwanda 1-0 Mozambique

The onus is more on Rwanda to make home advantage count and come away with all three points here. Mozambique, however, surely have other ideas heading into this weekend's encounter, but we fancy the hosts to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Rwanda	Draw	Mozambique
37.94% ( 0.17)	30.11% ( 1.27)	31.95% ( -1.44)

Both teams to score 41.56% (

-3.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.35% (

-4.25)

65.65% (

4.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.66% (

-3.05)

84.34% (

3.05)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55% (

-2.09)

33.44% (

2.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92% (

-2.36)

70.07% (

2.36)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.44% (

-3.34)

37.56% (

3.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.66% (

-3.43)

74.34% (

3.43)

Score Analysis

Rwanda 37.93%

Mozambique 31.95%

Draw 30.1%

Rwanda	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 1.31) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.93%	1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 12.56% ( 1.84) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.54) Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.1%	0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.56) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.41) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.31) Other @ 1.73% Total : 31.95%