MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:36:37| >> :600:452009:452009:
Rwanda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Huye
Mozambique national football team

Rwanda
0 - 2
Mozambique

FT(HT: 0-1)
Catamo (43'), Bauque (90+4')
Momade (45+2'), Ivane (79'), Abudo Zacarias (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 1-1 Benin
Wednesday, March 29 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Malawi
Wednesday, June 14 at 9am in International Friendlies

We said: Rwanda 1-0 Mozambique

The onus is more on Rwanda to make home advantage count and come away with all three points here. Mozambique, however, surely have other ideas heading into this weekend's encounter, but we fancy the hosts to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
RwandaDrawMozambique
37.94% (0.173 0.17) 30.11% (1.267 1.27) 31.95% (-1.438 -1.44)
Both teams to score 41.56% (-3.603 -3.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.35% (-4.249 -4.25)65.65% (4.249 4.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.66% (-3.05 -3.05)84.34% (3.05 3.05)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-2.094 -2.09)33.44% (2.094 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-2.36 -2.36)70.07% (2.361 2.36)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (-3.343 -3.34)37.56% (3.345 3.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66% (-3.429 -3.43)74.34% (3.431 3.43)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 37.93%
    Mozambique 31.95%
    Draw 30.1%
RwandaDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 13.75% (1.31 1.31)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.318 0.32)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.299 -0.3)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.286 -0.29)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 13.47% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 12.56% (1.84 1.84)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.538 -0.54)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 30.1%
0-1 @ 12.3% (0.8 0.8)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.559 -0.56)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.405 -0.41)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.305 -0.31)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Rwanda vs Mozambique

Rwanda
54.8%
Draw
31.0%
Mozambique
14.3%
42
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Mozambique
1-1
Rwanda
Ratifo (67')
Catamo (90+3')
Nishimwe (65')
Omborenga (88')
rhs 2.0
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