African Nations Championship | Group Stage

Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

Mozambique
0 - 1
Algeria

Antonio Januario (6'), Alexandre (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dehiri (7')
Keddad (45+6'), Islam Belkhir (58'), Eddine Mrezigue (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the African Nations Championship Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Algeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Libya
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Algeria

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ethiopia
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Algeria
19.26% ( -1.17)	25.81% ( -1.05)	54.93% ( 2.22)

Both teams to score 42.69% (

1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.85% (

2.23)

59.15% (

-2.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.41% (

1.69)

79.58% (

-1.69)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.49% (

-0.01)

45.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.66% (

-0.01)

81.33% (

0.01)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

1.9)

21.65% (

-1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.21% (

2.83)

54.78% (

-2.83)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 19.26%

Algeria 54.91%

Draw 25.81%

Mozambique	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.26%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.86) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 15.07% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 11.53% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 5.88% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.38) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.91%