Bringing the big-hitters back into the starting XI should bode well for an Algeria side who have a knack for winning away from home, but Sweden have their own experienced internationals waiting in the wings. Andersson's side will have the vociferous home support behind them, but a touch of additional quality in midfield and attack should help get Algeria over the line for their first-ever win over the Blue and Yellow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Algeria
41.07% ( 0.07)	26.99% ( -0.01)	31.94% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.18% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.05% (

0.03)

54.95% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77% (

0.02)

76.23% (

-0.02)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67% (

0.05)

26.33% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

0.06)

61.47% (

-0.06)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

-0.03)

31.88% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68% (

-0.03)

68.32% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sweden 41.07%

Algeria 31.94%

Draw 26.99%

Sweden	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.07%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.94%