Friendlies 1

Sep 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Azadi Stadium

Iran
4 - 0
Angola

Taremi (8', 16'), Moharrami (21'), Moghanlou (87')
Cheshmi (53')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Zini (24'), Landu Kukula (26')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Iran and Angola.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Bulgaria 0-1 Iran
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	7	7
2	USA	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	-3	3
4	Wales	3	-5	1

Angola

All competitions

Last Game: Angola 0-0 Madagascar
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Angola had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Iran	Draw	Angola
53.16% ( -0.02)	25.7% ( 0.02)	21.14% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.5% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.17% (

-0.08)

56.82% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.24% (

-0.07)

77.75% (

0.07)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56% (

-0.04)

21.44% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.54% (

-0.07)

54.45% (

0.07)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.92% (

-0.05)

42.08% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.5% (

-0.05)

78.5% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Iran 53.15%

Angola 21.14%

Draw 25.7%

Iran	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.15%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.14%